Danish Superliga | Gameweek 21
Mar 9, 2025 at 1pm UK
Nordjyske Arena
Midtjylland

AaB
1 - 4
Midtjylland

Jorgensen (45+8')
Kramer (45+6'), Jasson (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sorensen (11', 89'), Bak Jensen (23'), Osorio (78')
Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aalborg BK and FC Midtjylland.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AaB 0-0 Copenhagen
Sunday, March 2 at 5pm in Danish Superliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
Aalborg BKDrawFC Midtjylland
31.2% (-0.248 -0.25)23.83% (0.019000000000002 0.02)44.97% (0.232 0.23)
Both teams to score 60.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (-0.201 -0.2)41.59% (0.204 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (-0.204 -0.2)63.99% (0.207 0.21)
Aalborg BK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.25 -0.25)25.7% (0.254 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.37% (-0.343 -0.34)60.62% (0.345 0.34)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (0.016000000000005 0.02)18.75% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.87% (0.024999999999999 0.02)50.13% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aalborg BK 31.2%
    FC Midtjylland 44.97%
    Draw 23.82%
Aalborg BKDrawFC Midtjylland
2-1 @ 7.44% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-0 @ 6.55% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 31.2%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.82%
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.025 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.77% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.14% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 44.97%

Head to Head
Aug 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Midtjylland
2-0
AaB
Buksa (44'), Brynhildsen (77')
Askildsen (89')

Widell (89'), Diakhite (90')
May 21, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 8
AaB
0-2
Midtjylland

Ahlmann (38'), Jorgensen (39'), Bakiz (45')
Isaksen (5'), Paulinho (50')
Dalsgaard (26')
Apr 14, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 3
Midtjylland
1-1
AaB
Isaksen (82')
Sousa (42')
Mar 6, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 20
AaB
0-0
Midtjylland
Sep 4, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 8
Midtjylland
0-2
AaB
Ferreira (30'), Sousa (58')