Danish Superliga | Gameweek 19

Feb 23, 2025 at 1pm UK

Vejlby Stadion

Aarhus
4 - 0
AaB

Mortensen (20', 51'), Anderson (48'), Diakhite (71' og.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kramer (31'), Bomholt (90+3')

Coverage of the Danish Superliga clash between Aarhus and Aalborg BK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aarhus

All competitions

Last Game: SonderjyskE 1-4 Aarhus
Sunday, February 16 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Aalborg BK

All competitions

Last Game: Brondby 1-0 AaB
Friday, November 29 at 6pm in Danish Superliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Aalborg BK had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Aalborg BK win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aarhus would win this match.

Result
Aarhus	Draw	Aalborg BK
49.17% ( -0.09)	22.59% ( 0.03)	28.24% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 62.9% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.57% (

-0.12)

37.43% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.35% (

-0.13)

59.65% (

0.12)

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45% (

-0.08)

15.54% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.52% (

-0.14)

44.48% (

0.13)

Aalborg BK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.47% (

-0.02)

25.52% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.62% (

-0.03)

60.38% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Aarhus 49.17%

Aalborg BK 28.24%

Draw 22.59%

Aarhus	Draw	Aalborg BK
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.17%	1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.59%	1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.24%