Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Randers win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Nordsjaelland had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Randers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Nordsjaelland win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Randers would win this match.