Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for FK Baumit Jablonec had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%) , while for a FK Baumit Jablonec win it was 1-2 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.