Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Baumit Jablonec win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for MFK Karvina had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a FK Baumit Jablonec win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest MFK Karvina win was 1-2 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.