Czech Liga
Feb 21, 2026 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Střelnice
  • Nelson Okeke 56' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Nebyla 57' goal
  • M. Malenšek 70' yellowcard
  • David Puskac 71' yellowcard
  • M. Malenšek 71' yellowcard
  • Filip Zorvan 90' yellowcard
  • Martin Cedidla 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Denny Samko 63'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kristan 88'
  • yellowcard 88'
  • yellowcard Jakub Kristan 88'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Condé 88'
  • yellowcard Faycal Konate 88'

FK Baumit Jablonec vs MFK Karvina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Baumit Jablonec

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 12.00pm
Pardubice 0 - 2 Jablonec
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Sebastian Nebyla

MFK Karvina

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 2.00pm
MFK Karvina 1 - 3 Slavia Prague
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Pavel Kacor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Baumit Jablonec win with a probability of 47.58%. A win for MFK Karvina had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Baumit Jablonec win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest MFK Karvina win was 1-2 (7.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

FK Baumit Jablonec 47.58%
Draw 23.86%
MFK Karvina 28.56%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.97%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.34%
Under 1.5 17.66%
Over 2.5 62.73% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 37.27% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 40.29% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 59.71% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 24.5%
Under 4.5 75.5%

First Half Winner

FK Baumit Jablonec 35.05% (-0.03)
Draw 39.1% (+0.01)
MFK Karvina 25.84%

Team To Score First

FK Baumit Jablonec 54.8%
No Goal 4.97%
MFK Karvina 40.23%

Corners

Over 8 57.48% (+0.01)
Equal 8 11.49%
Under 8 31.04% (-0.02)
Over 9 45.8% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 42.52% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 34.91% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 65.09% (-0.01)

FK Baumit Jablonec Goals

Over 1.5 52.05% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 47.95% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 26.84%
Under 2.5 73.16%
Over 3.5 11.44% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 88.56% (+0.02)

MFK Karvina Goals

Over 0.5 66.18% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 33.82% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 35.92% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 64.08% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.99%
Under 3.5 95.01%

Score analysis

FK Baumit Jablonec 47.58%
Draw 23.86%
MFK Karvina 28.57%
FK Baumit Jablonec
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.18% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 11.05% (-0.02)
Total : 47.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.75%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.78% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.86%
MFK Karvina
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-1 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.39%
1-3 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 28.57%

Head to Head

Czech Liga
Sep 20, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Czech Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 2.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Strelnice
  • Martin Cedidla 23' goal
  • Lamin Jawo 31' goal
  • Nemanja Tekijaski 47' yellowcard
  • Dominik Holly 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Dominik Holly 54' goal
  • Alexis Alegue 67' goal
  • Bienvenue Kanakimana 89' goal
  • yellowcard David Planka 15'
  • yellowcard Samuel Sigut 36'
  • yellowcard Patrik Cavos 45'+4'
Czech Liga Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Mestsky Stadion
  • Filip Vecheta 21' goal
  • David Moses 42' yellowcard
  • Denny Samko 54' yellowcard
  • David Krcik 57' yellowcard
  • Jaroslav Svozil 80' yellowcard
  • Jakub Lapes 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Nebyla 51'
  • yellowcard Jakub Martinec 62'
  • yellowcard Nemanja Tekijaski 75'
  • yellowcard Vakhtang Chanturishvili 80'
Czech Liga Gameweek 1
May 4, 2024 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Strelnice
  • Matej Polidar 28' yellowcard
  • Vakhtang Chanturishvili 37' goal
  • Nemanja Tekijaski 43' yellowcard
  • Haiderson Hurtado 59' yellowcard
  • Jakub Martinec 89' goal
  • Filip Soucek 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Matej Naprstek 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Jaroslav Svozil 9'
  • goal Haiderson Hurtado 36' (OG)
  • goal Jiri Fleisman 60'
  • yellowcard Juraj Jarabek 87'
Czech Liga Gameweek 19
Dec 16, 2023 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Strelnice
  • Matous Krulich 8' yellowcard
  • Radoslav Latal 36' yellowcard
  • Haiderson Hurtado 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Bohac 38'
  • yellowcard David Krcik 45'+2'
Czech Liga Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2023 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mestsky Stadion
  • Papalele 39' yellowcard
  • Lucky Ezeh 50' yellowcard
  • Amar Memic 53' yellowcard
  • Andrija Raznatovic 64' yellowcard
  • Adeleke Akinyemi 84' goal
  • yellowcard David Houska 13'
  • yellowcard Vakhtang Chanturishvili 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Jakub Martinec 48'
  • goal Milos Kratochvil 56'
  • yellowcard Haiderson Hurtado Palomino 90'+2'