Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 11, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Santos1 - 0Boca Juniors
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.
Result | ||
Santos | Draw | Boca Juniors |
41.67% | 26.12% | 32.21% |
Both teams to score 53.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.64% | 51.36% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.82% | 73.18% |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.61% | 24.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.2% | 58.8% |
Boca Juniors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.12% | 29.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.03% | 65.97% |
Score Analysis |
Santos 41.67%
Boca Juniors 32.21%
Draw 26.12%
Santos | Draw | Boca Juniors |
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.67% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.21% |
How you voted: Santos vs Boca Juniors
Santos
50.0%Draw
22.7%Boca Juniors
27.3%22
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Boca Juniors
2-0
Santos
Jan 13, 2021 10.15pm
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-19 10:38:37
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 32 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 76 | 32 | 44 | 73 |
2 | Arsenal | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 75 | 26 | 49 | 71 |
3 | Liverpool | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 71 |
4 | Aston Villa | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 68 | 49 | 19 | 63 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 17 | 50 |
7 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 44 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 43 |
12 | Fulham | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 49 | 51 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Bournemouth | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 33 |
15 | Brentford | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Everton | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 27 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 46 | 70 | -24 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 33 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | 68 | -35 | 20 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 30 | 84 | -54 | 16 |
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