Santos
1 - 0
Boca Juniors

Jonatan (41')
Gabriel (29'), Mota (34'), Braga (67'), Jorge (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Villa (32'), Buffarini (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Santos and Boca Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.

Result
Santos	Draw	Boca Juniors
41.67%	26.12%	32.21%

Both teams to score 53.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.64%

51.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.82%

73.18%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61%

24.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.2%

58.8%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.12%

29.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.03%

65.97%

Score Analysis

Santos 41.67%

Boca Juniors 32.21%

Draw 26.12%

Santos	Draw	Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.25% 3-1 @ 4.12% 3-0 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.67%	1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 7.29% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 8.8% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.21%