Copa Libertadores
May 11, 2021 11.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Angelo Gabriel 29' yellowcard
  • Jean Mota 34' yellowcard
  • Felipe Jonatan 41' goal
  • Lucas Braga 67' yellowcard
  • Kaio Jorge 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Villa 32'
  • yellowcard Julio Buffarini 61'

Santos vs Boca Juniors - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Santos

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 4, 2021 11.15pm
Santos 5 - 0 The Strongest

Boca Juniors

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
May 5, 2021 1.30am
Barcelona 1 - 0 Boca Juniors

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.

Result

Santos 41.67%
Draw 26.12%
Boca Juniors 32.21%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.02%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.64%
Under 2.5 51.36%
Over 3.5 26.82%
Under 3.5 73.18%

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 75.61%
Under 0.5 24.38%
Over 1.5 41.2%
Under 1.5 58.8%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5 70.12%
Under 0.5 29.87%
Over 1.5 34.03%
Under 1.5 65.97%

Score analysis

Santos 41.67%
Draw 26.12%
Boca Juniors 32.21%
Santos
1-0 @ 10.28%
2-1 @ 8.76%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.42%
0-0 @ 7.29%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.12%
Boca Juniors
0-1 @ 8.8%
1-2 @ 7.5%
0-2 @ 5.32%
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 32.21%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 28, 2021 1.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jacinto Armando
  • Carlos Tevez 47' goal
  • Agustin Sandez 56' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavon 60' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Villa 69' goal
  • Cristian Medina 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vinicius 35'
  • yellowcard Para 40'
  • yellowcard Marcos Leonardo 58'
  • yellowcard Alison 74'
Copa Libertadores
Jan 13, 2021 10.15pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Diego Pituca 16' goal
  • Yeferson Soteldo 49' goal
  • Diego Pituca 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Lucas Braga 51' goal
  • yellowcard Eduardo Salvio 27'
  • redcard Frank Fabra 56'
  • yellowcard Carlos Izquierdoz 66'
Copa Libertadores
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto Jacinto Armando
  • Sebastian Villa 86' yellowcard