Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 11, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Santos1 - 0Boca Juniors
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 41.67% | 26.12% | 32.21% |
| Both teams to score 53.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
