Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 29, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria

LDU Quito
3 - 0
C. Cordoba

Alvarado (15', 15'), Alzugaray (44', 44', 53', 53')
Quinonez (11'), Quinonez (11'), Estrada (90+5'), Estrada (90+5')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Gomez (38'), Gomez (38'), Ruben Rivero Cruz (50'), Ruben Rivero Cruz (50'), Veron (90+2'), Abascia (90+6'), Veron (90+2'), Abascia (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between LDU Quito and Central Cordoba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

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Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 LDU Quito
Friday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Central Cordoba

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Tachira 1-2 C. Cordoba
Tuesday, May 13 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawCentral Cordoba
57.25% (0.741 0.74)23.53% (-0.317 -0.32)19.22% (-0.423 -0.42)
Both teams to score 48.85% (0.262 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.09% (0.703 0.7)50.91% (-0.7 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.22% (0.614 0.61)72.78% (-0.613 -0.61)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.44% (0.529 0.53)17.56% (-0.527 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.89% (0.911 0.91)48.11% (-0.909 -0.91)
Central Cordoba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)40.74% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)77.32% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 57.24%
    Central Cordoba 19.22%
    Draw 23.52%
LDU QuitoDrawCentral Cordoba
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 10.82% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.28% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.121 0.12)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.04 0.04)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 57.24%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.42% (-0.194 -0.19)
1-2 @ 5.02% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.88% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 19.22%

How you voted: LDU Quito vs C. Cordoba

LDU Quito
76.9%
Draw
23.1%
Central Cordoba
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2025 11pm
Group Stage
C. Cordoba
0-0
LDU Quito
Galvan (28'), Ruben Rivero Cruz (34')
Arce (69'), Alvarado (71')