Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amazonas win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Figueirense had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Amazonas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Figueirense win was 0-1 (11.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.