Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 43.17%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Figueirense had a probability of 28.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.13%), while for a Figueirense win it was 0-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.