Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Figueirense win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.29% and a win for Azuriz had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Figueirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.96%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%) , while for a Azuriz win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood.