Copa do Brasil
Mar 4, 2026 10.00pm
0
0
ET Estádio Benito Agnelo Castellano
  • Roberto Baggio 46' yellowcard
  • Adriano 62' yellowcard
  • Sillas 76' yellowcard
  • Breno Lopes 86' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mingoti 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Janderson 46'
  • yellowcard Rafa Silva 46'
  • yellowcard Emerson Urso 69'
  • yellowcard Dodô 69'
  • yellowcard Higor 88'

Velo Clube vs Vila Nova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velo Clube

All competitions

Vila Nova

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vila Nova win with a probability of 35.54%. A win for Velo Clube had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vila Nova win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Velo Clube win was 1-0 (12.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result

Velo Clube 34.06% (+0.02)
Draw 30.4%
Vila Nova 35.54% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.34% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 61.98%
Under 1.5 38.02%
Over 2.5 35.58%
Under 2.5 64.42%
Over 3.5 17.44%
Under 3.5 82.56%
Over 4.5 8.6% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 91.4% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Velo Clube 27.67% (+0.03)
Draw 48.13%
Vila Nova 24.2% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Velo Clube 44.33%
No Goal 12.42%
Vila Nova 43.25%

Corners

Over 8 56.32%
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 32.49%
Over 9 45.06%
Equal 9 11.26%
Under 9 43.68%
Over 10.5 34.61%
Under 10.5 65.39%

Velo Clube Goals

Over 1.5 27.52% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.48% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 8.99% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.01% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.53% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.47% (-0.02)

Vila Nova Goals

Over 0.5 64.25% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.75% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 28.3% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 71.7% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 9.38% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.62% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.71%
Under 3.5 97.29%

Score analysis

Velo Clube 34.04%
Draw 30.4%
Vila Nova 35.54%
Velo Clube
1-0 @ 12.46%
2-1 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 34.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.52%
0-0 @ 12.42%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 30.4%
Vila Nova
0-1 @ 13.12% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.65% (-0.02)
Total : 35.54%