Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vila Nova win with a probability of 35.54%. A win for Velo Clube had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vila Nova win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.06%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Velo Clube win was 1-0 (12.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.