Copa del Rey | First Round

Nov 2, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Villanovense

Villanovense
2 - 1
UD Ibiza

Gonzalez (62'), J. (67+67')
Olaortua (40'), Fuentes (40'), M. (87'), Ortiz (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Obolski (42')
Damar (3'), Olaortua (51')

Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Villanovense and UD Ibiza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villanovense

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Villanovense
Wednesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in Copa del Rey

UD Ibiza

All competitions

Last Game: Malaga 1-1 UD Ibiza
Saturday, May 27 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 47.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Villanovense had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.95%), while for a Villanovense win it was 1-0 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Villanovense	Draw	UD Ibiza
23.54% ( -0.19)	29.36% ( -0.49)	47.09% ( 0.68)

Both teams to score 39.07% (

0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.51% (

1.23)

66.49% (

-1.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.08% (

0.83)

84.92% (

-0.83)

Villanovense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.73% (

0.55)

45.27% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.85% (

0.43)

81.14% (

-0.43)

UD Ibiza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.37% (

0.97)

28.62% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57% (

1.2)

64.43% (

-1.2)

Score Analysis

Villanovense 23.54%

UD Ibiza 47.08%

Draw 29.35%

Villanovense	Draw	UD Ibiza
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.69% Total : 23.54%	0-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.6) 1-1 @ 12.84% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.37% Total : 29.35%	0-1 @ 16.2% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 10.13% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.44% Total : 47.08%