Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 47.09%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Villanovense had a probability of 23.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.95%), while for a Villanovense win it was 1-0 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.