Copa del Rey
Oct 28, 2026 7.00pm
Estadio Juan Antonio A. Rabanal

Covadonga vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Covadonga

All competitions

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 47.91%. A win for Covadonga has a probability of 28.86% and a draw has a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Covadonga win is 1-0 (6.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result

Covadonga 28.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Real Valladolid 47.91%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.97% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.03% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 19.97% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 57.91% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 42.09% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 3.5 36.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 63.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 23.24% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 76.76% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Covadonga 24.76% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 38.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Real Valladolid 36.62% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Covadonga 40.55% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.52% ▼ (-0.02)
Real Valladolid 53.93%

Corners

Over 8 48.55% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.63% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 39.82% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 9 37.53% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 51.45% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 10.5 27.9% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 72.1% ▲ (+0.05)

Covadonga Goals

Over 1.5 33.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 13.88% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.32% ▼ (-0.03)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 76.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.8% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 48.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 51.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 74.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 10.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.4% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Covadonga 28.86%
Draw 23.27%
Real Valladolid 47.91%
Covadonga
1-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.76%
2-0 @ 4.44%
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.27%
Real Valladolid
1-2 @ 8.72%
0-1 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 5.13%
0-3 @ 4.72%
2-3 @ 3.93%
Other @ 10.38% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 47.91%