Club Friendlies 4
Aug 29, 2026 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Alphonse Le Derf 1

Gijon Industrial vs Covadonga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gijon Industrial

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 27, 2026 6.00pm
Avilés Stadium 0 - 0 Gijon Industrial

Covadonga

All competitions
Club Friendlies 4
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 6.00pm
Real Oviedo II 6 - 0 Covadonga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Covadonga win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Gijon Industrial had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Covadonga win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.37%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Gijon Industrial win was 2-1 (7.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Gijon Industrial 35.19% ▲ (+0.37)
Draw 25.49% ▲ (+0.15)
Covadonga 39.32% ▼ (-0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.51% ▼ (-0.25)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.78% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 20.22% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 2.5 59.2% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 40.8% ▲ (+0.40)
Over 3.5 38.64% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 3.5 61.36% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 4.5 23.6% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 4.5 76.4% ▲ (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Gijon Industrial 26.2% ▼ (-0.24)
Draw 42.59% ▲ (+0.19)
Covadonga 31.21% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Gijon Industrial 41% ▲ (+0.14)
No Goal 5.98% ▲ (+0.11)
Covadonga 53.02% ▼ (-0.23)

Corners

Over 8 56.46% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 32.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 9 44.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 43.54% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 34.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 65.76% ▲ (+0.02)

Gijon Industrial Goals

Over 1.5 40.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 59.52% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 18.82% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 81.18% ▼ (-0.12)
Over 3.5 7.32% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 92.68% ▼ (-0.05)

Covadonga Goals

Over 0.5 73.45% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 0.5 26.55% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 1.5 43.96% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 1.5 56.04% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 2.5 20.85% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 2.5 79.15% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 3.5 8.41% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 91.59% ▲ (+0.22)

Score analysis

Gijon Industrial 35.2%
Draw 25.48%
Covadonga 39.32%
Gijon Industrial
2-1 @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 6.87% ▲ (+0.17)
2-0 @ 4.69% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 35.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.48%
Covadonga
1-2 @ 8.27% ▼ (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.37% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 5.22% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.32% ▼ (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 7.9% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 39.32%