Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belize win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Turks and Caicos had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belize win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Turks and Caicos win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belize would win this match.