Conference League
Jul 30, 2026 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Inver Park
  • Joel Cooper  54' yellowcard
  • goal Toivo Mero 12'
  • goal Alfie Cicale 34'
  • goal Mouhamed Guèye 53'

Coleraine vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Coleraine

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
HJK Helsinki 5 - 0 Coleraine

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
HJK Helsinki 5 - 0 Coleraine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (5.59%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Coleraine 39.92% (-0.15)
Draw 23.82%
HJK Helsinki 36.26% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.63% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.85% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 19.15% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 59.4% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 40.6% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 36.79% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 63.21% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 22.54% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.46% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Coleraine 32.18% (+0.04)
Draw 37.36% (-0.12)
HJK Helsinki 30.46% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Coleraine 49.12% (-0.04)
No Goal 5.02% (-0.03)
HJK Helsinki 45.86% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 61.46% (+0.28)
Equal 8 10.5% (-0.01)
Under 8 28.04% (-0.27)
Over 9 50.46% (+0.26)
Equal 9 11.01% (+0.02)
Under 9 38.54% (-0.28)
Over 10.5 39.82% (+0.23)
Under 10.5 60.18% (-0.23)

Coleraine Goals

Over 1.5 43.84% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 56.16% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 20.42% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 79.58% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 8.18% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 91.82% (+0.03)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 70.96% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 29.04% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 40.41% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 59.59% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 18.37% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 81.63% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 7.03% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 92.97% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Coleraine 39.92%
Draw 23.82%
HJK Helsinki 36.26%
Coleraine
2-1 @ 8.66% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.16% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.04%
Other @ 7.87% (-0.05)
Total : 39.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.02% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.31% (+0.02)
Total : 23.82%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 7.69% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 5.14% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3%
0-3 @ 2.86% (+0.03)
Other @ 6.72% (+0.05)
Total : 36.26%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 23, 2026 5.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Liam Möller 12' goal
  • Alexander Ring  23' yellowcard
  • Pyry Mentu 32' goal
  • Toivo Mero 47' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 80' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 82' goal