Club World Cup
Sep 19, 2026 2.00pm
Loftus Versfeld Stadium

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mamelodi Sundowns

All competitions

Al-Ahli

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mamelodi Sundowns win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Al-Ahli has a probability of 30.12% and a draw has a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mamelodi Sundowns win is 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win is 0-1 (6.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.52%).

Result

Mamelodi Sundowns 44.97%
Draw 24.87%
Al-Ahli 30.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.79%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.83%
Under 1.5 22.17%
Over 2.5 54.91%
Under 2.5 45.09%
Over 3.5 33.98%
Under 3.5 66.02%
Over 4.5 20.43%
Under 4.5 79.57%

First Half Winner

Mamelodi Sundowns 34.75%
Draw 41.62%
Al-Ahli 23.63%

Team To Score First

Mamelodi Sundowns 57.29%
No Goal 6.16%
Al-Ahli 36.55%

Corners

Over 8 40.26%
Equal 8 10.97%
Under 8 48.77%
Over 9 30.5%
Equal 9 9.76%
Under 9 59.74%
Over 10.5 22.46%
Under 10.5 77.54%

Mamelodi Sundowns Goals

Over 1.5 45.52%
Under 1.5 54.48%
Over 2.5 22.17%
Under 2.5 77.83%
Over 3.5 8.83%
Under 3.5 91.17%

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 65.56%
Under 0.5 34.44%
Over 1.5 33.74%
Under 1.5 66.26%
Over 2.5 13.59%
Under 2.5 86.41%
Over 3.5 4.73%
Under 3.5 95.27%

Score analysis

Mamelodi Sundowns 44.96%
Draw 24.88%
Al-Ahli 30.13%
Mamelodi Sundowns
1-0 @ 9%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 6.9%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 3.39%
Other @ 8.59%
Total : 44.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 6.16%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.88%
Al-Ahli
0-1 @ 6.98%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 3.13%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 2.01%
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 30.13%