Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.