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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 43.44% | 28.24% | 28.32% |
| Both teams to score 45.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.32% | 60.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.25% | 80.75% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% | 27.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% | 63.31% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% | 37.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.58% | 74.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Barnsley |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 8.58% 2-1 @ 8.39% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.75% Total : 43.43% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 10.2% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.99% 1-3 @ 2.08% 0-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.7% Total : 28.32% |