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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 36.1% | 27.14% | 36.76% |
| Both teams to score 50.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.08% | 54.91% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.8% | 76.2% |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.85% | 29.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.92% | 65.08% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% | 28.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.41% | 64.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nottingham Forest | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.37% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.1% | 1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.95% Other @ 0.93% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 8.03% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 3.34% 0-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.64% Total : 36.75% |