Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 8, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

Petrovsky Stadium

Zenit
1 - 2
Dortmund

Driussi (16')
Azmoun (10')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Piszczek (68'), Witsel (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
41.74%	22.94%	35.32%

Both teams to score 65.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.17%

35.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.09%

57.91%

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.25%

17.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.57%

48.43%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.33%

20.67%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.74%

53.26%

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 41.74%

Borussia Dortmund 35.32%

Draw 22.94%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.64% 1-0 @ 6.34% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 2.15% 4-2 @ 1.7% 4-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.99% Total : 41.74%	1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.81% 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 2.06% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 7.88% 0-1 @ 5.78% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 3.58% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 3% Total : 35.32%

How you voted: Zenit vs Dortmund

Zenit St Petersburg

18.0%

Draw

19.5%

Borussia Dortmund

62.5%