Lazio

3 - 1

Zenit

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Zenit St Petersburg had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.