Champions League Gameweek 4
Nov 4, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Do Dragão

Porto vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 0 - 2 Man City

Napoli

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Sep 9, 2026 8.00pm
Napoli 0 - 1 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Napoli has a probability of 31.34% and a draw has a probability of 25.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Napoli win is 0-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result

Porto 43.42% ▼ (-5.16)
Draw 25.27% ▲ (+0.76)
Napoli 31.34% ▲ (+4.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.28% ▲ (+1.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 49.58% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 50.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 27.33% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 3.5 72.67% ▼ (-0.32)
Over 4.5 15.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.65% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Porto 33.86% ▼ (-3.04)
Draw 41.76% ▲ (+1.44)
Napoli 24.38% ▲ (+1.60)

Team To Score First

Porto 53.68% ▼ (-2.10)
No Goal 7.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Napoli 39.27% ▲ (+2.04)

Corners

Over 8 48.14% ▼ (-1.15)
Equal 8 11.76% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 8 40.09% ▲ (+1.31)
Over 9 37.03% ▼ (-0.90)
Equal 9 11.12% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 9 51.86% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 10.5 27.34% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 10.5 72.66% ▲ (+0.62)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 41.45% ▼ (-3.79)
Under 1.5 58.55% ▲ (+3.79)
Over 2.5 17.37% ▼ (-2.94)
Under 2.5 82.63% ▲ (+2.94)
Over 3.5 6.17% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 3.5 93.83% ▲ (+0.97)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5 65.26% ▲ (+3.81)
Under 0.5 34.74% ▼ (-3.80)
Over 1.5 31.39% ▲ (+3.95)
Under 1.5 68.61% ▼ (-3.96)
Over 2.5 11.99% ▲ (+2.49)
Under 2.5 88.01% ▼ (-2.48)
Over 3.5 3.56% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 3.5 96.44% ▼ (-0.90)

Score analysis

Porto 43.43%
Draw 25.26%
Napoli 31.34%
Porto
1-0 @ 10.25% ▼ (-0.64)
2-1 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.36)
2-0 @ 7.71% ▼ (-1.20)
3-1 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.71)
3-0 @ 3.67% ▼ (-1.05)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.97)
Total : 43.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% ▲ (+0.28)
0-0 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.36)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 25.26%
Napoli
0-1 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.63)
1-2 @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.56)
0-2 @ 4.81% ▲ (+0.82)
1-3 @ 2.92% ▲ (+0.61)
0-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.61)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.35)
Other @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.90)
Total : 31.34%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 20, 2014 8.05pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Goran Pandev 21' goal
  • Henrique 52' yellowcard
  • Valon Behrami 75' yellowcard
  • Duvan Zapata 90' goal
  • goal Nabil Ghilas 69'
  • goal Ricardo Quaresma 76'
  • yellowcard Fernando 90'
Europa League
Mar 13, 2014 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jackson Martinez 57' goal
  • Alex Sandro 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Reveillere 59'
  • yellowcard Valon Behrami 71'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Aug 4, 2013 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Goran Pandev 45' goal
  • goal Nabil Ghilas 50'
  • goal Federico Fernandez 68'
  • goal Lica 78'