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Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 5, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal Coll d'en Rebassa
Celta Vigo logo

Atletico Baleares
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Martinez (17', 76')
Tanque (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mendez (67')

Preview: Atletico Baleares vs. Celta Vigo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Baleares and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Celta Vigo head into Wednesday's Copa del Rey tie at Atletico Baleares looking to build on their recent upturn of results in La Liga.

While the visitors sit just below the mid-table positions in Spain's top flight, Atletico Baleares currently occupy fourth position in the third tier.


Match preview

Celta Vigo head coach Eduardo Coudet pictured in May 2021© Reuters

Although a slow start to the campaign has undermined Celta Vigo's efforts in La Liga this season, they still feel like a team who can compete with the best that Spain has to offer.

Real Betis do not necessarily fall into that bracket, despite their Champions League push, but Celta made it 10 points from a possible 15 with victory at the Benito Villamarin Stadium on Sunday.

Both goals came from Iago Aspas, the veteran forward now scoring in four successive La Liga appearances and taking his tally for the season to 10.

Now sitting seven points above the relegation zone, Eduardo Coudet can afford to place a little extra focus on this competition as the club bid to make up for a succession of early exits in recent years.

Away victories have been recorded over Ebro and FC Andorra in previous rounds, extra time being required to beat the latter of the minnows by a 2-1 scoreline.

Atletico Baleares are further down the Spanish football pyramid, but they will still be dreaming big in the anticipation of pulling off another seismic shock in this competition.

Although they benefitted from Getafe being reduced to 10 men on 32 minutes, Baleares were ruthless as they took full advantage, putting five goals past the La Liga club without reply.

The result was not in keeping with their league performances before that tie, Baleares having suffered defeats to Sevilla's and Barcelona's second-string sides.

While promotion to the second tier remains the priority for this club, head coach Xavi Calm will be optimistic that they can go deeper in this tournament.

Atletico Baleares Copa del Rey form:
  • D
  • W

Atletico Baleares form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W

Celta Vigo Copa del Rey form:
  • W
  • W

Celta Vigo form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Having not made any substitutions until the 86th minute at the weekend, Coudet is expected to make several alterations to his Celta XI.

Jose Fontan, Gabriel Veiga and Nolito will be among the players who will hope to feature from the opening whistle.

Second-choice goalkeeper Ruben Blanco should also get a chance, but Aspas may drop to the substitutes' bench.

Barring any injuries, Calm will almost certainly select the same Atletico players who performed so well against Getafe before the Christmas break.

Manel Martinez has netted just once in the league this season, but his goal during that fixture may see him retain his spot in the final third.

Atletico Baleares possible starting lineup:
Ginard; Ferrone, Orfila, Vilarrasa; Canario, Cordero, Shashoua, Fran; Martinez, Ros, Dioni

Celta Vigo possible starting lineup:
Blanco; Aidoo, Fontan, Dominguez, Galan; Mendez, Beltran, Veiga, Cervi; Nolito, Mina


SM words green background

We say: Atletico Baleares 0-3 Celta Vigo

The obvious gulf in class should result in an extra urgency in the home side's performance, something which may trouble their more illustrious visitors. Nevertheless, we can still only see a comfortable win for Vigo, regardless of whether they make widespread changes.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Atletico Baleares had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for an Atletico Baleares win it was 1-0 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Atletico Baleares vs Celta Vigo

Atletico Baleares
14.3%
Draw
6.5%
Celta Vigo
79.2%
77
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Barcelona coach Xavi during the match on November 23, 2021
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