CAF Champions League
Sep 12, 2026 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stade du TP Mazembe
  • Patrick Mwaungulu 16' goal
  • Kazema Baso 24' goal
  • Patrick Mwaungulu 76' goal
  • goal Dominic Amponsah 87'

TP Mazembe vs Medeama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

TP Mazembe

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 4.00pm
Medeama 0 - 1 TP Mazembe

Medeama

All competitions
CAF Champions League
Last game
Sep 6, 2026 4.00pm
Medeama 0 - 1 TP Mazembe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TP Mazembe win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Medeama had a probability of 24.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a TP Mazembe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%) , while for a Medeama win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result

TP Mazembe 49.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.6% ▲ (+0.04)
Medeama 24.39% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.42% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 30.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 45.34%
Under 2.5 54.66%
Over 3.5 24.3% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 75.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.7% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.3% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

TP Mazembe 35.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 47.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Medeama 17.7% ▲ (+0.03)

Team To Score First

TP Mazembe 56.64% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 9.85% ▲ (+0.05)
Medeama 33.51% ▼ (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 49.39% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 8 11.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 38.86% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 9 38.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 9 11.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 50.61% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 10.5 28.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 10.5 71.69% ▲ (+0.07)

TP Mazembe Goals

Over 1.5 43.01% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 56.99% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 19.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 80.68% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 7.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 92.84% ▲ (+0.03)

Medeama Goals

Over 0.5 56.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 43.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 23.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 76.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 7.81% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 92.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 2.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.89% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

TP Mazembe 49.02%
Draw 26.6%
Medeama 24.39%
TP Mazembe
1-0 @ 12.39% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.78%
3-0 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.15%
Total : 49.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.85% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.6%
Medeama
0-1 @ 7.88% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.39%

Head to Head

CAF Champions League
Sep 6, 2026 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tarkwa T&A Park
  • goal Lise Nyembo Ntumba 87'