CAF Champions League
Sep 6, 2026 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Tarkwa T&A Park
  • goal Lise Nyembo Ntumba 87'

Medeama vs TP Mazembe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Medeama

All competitions

TP Mazembe

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Medeama win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for TP Mazembe had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Medeama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest TP Mazembe win was 0-1 (8.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Medeama 43.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.64%
TP Mazembe 30.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.07% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 29.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 46.76% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.87% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.13% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.17% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Medeama 27.87%
Draw 45.25%
TP Mazembe 26.88%

Team To Score First

Medeama 46.37% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 8.52% ▼ (-0.02)
TP Mazembe 45.11% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 48.82%
Equal 8 11.42%
Under 8 39.76%
Over 9 37.94%
Equal 9 10.87%
Under 9 51.18%
Over 10.5 28.39%
Under 10.5 71.61%

Medeama Goals

Over 1.5 39.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 60.56% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 17.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 82.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 93.22% ▲ (+0.02)

TP Mazembe Goals

Over 0.5 61.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 38.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 29.27% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 70.73% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 11.32% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 88.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 96.66% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Medeama 43.64%
Draw 25.64%
TP Mazembe 30.71%
Medeama
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 8.21%
2-0 @ 7.59% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.92%
3-0 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.94%
Other @ 6.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 43.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 25.64%
TP Mazembe
0-1 @ 8.87%
1-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42%
2-3 @ 2.06%
Other @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 30.71%