Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TP Mazembe win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for MC Alger had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a TP Mazembe win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.4%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.9%), while for a MC Alger win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.