Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Africans win with a probability of 75.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for TP Mazembe had a probability of 7.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Africans win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.11%) and 3-0 (11.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.72%), while for a TP Mazembe win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Africans would win this match.