CAF Champions League | Group Stage

Jan 4, 2025 at 1pm UK

Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Young Africans
3 - 1
TP Mazembe

Franses Mzize (33', 60'), Aziz Ki (56')
Kibwana Shomari (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Badara Faty (16' pen.)
Ngalamulume Bato (30')

Coverage of the CAF Champions League Group Stage clash between Young Africans and TP Mazembe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Young Africans

Last Game: TP Mazembe 1-1 Young Africans
Saturday, December 14 at 1pm in CAF Champions League

TP Mazembe

Last Game: TP Mazembe 1-1 Young Africans
Saturday, December 14 at 1pm in CAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Africans win with a probability of 75.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for TP Mazembe had a probability of 7.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Young Africans win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (16.11%) and 3-0 (11.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.72%), while for a TP Mazembe win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Africans would win this match.

Result
Young Africans	Draw	TP Mazembe
75.33% ( 1.04)	17.48% ( -0.54)	7.19% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 33.08% (

-0.72)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.17% (

0.47)

52.83% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.55% (

0.4)

74.45% (

-0.4)

Young Africans Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.59% (

0.44)

12.41% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.69% (

0.91)

38.31% (

-0.91)

TP Mazembe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.77% (

-1.02)

62.23% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.25% (

-0.49)

91.75% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Young Africans 75.32%

TP Mazembe 7.19%

Draw 17.48%

Young Africans	Draw	TP Mazembe
2-0 @ 16.81% ( 0.26) 1-0 @ 16.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.12% Total : 75.32%	0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.14) 1-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.48%	0-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.71% Total : 7.19%