Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Hilal Omdurman win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for TP Mazembe had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Hilal Omdurman win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.76%), while for a TP Mazembe win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Hilal Omdurman would win this match.