CAF Champions League | Group Stage

Jan 18, 2025 at 1pm UK

Stade du TP Mazembe

TP Mazembe
4 - 0
Al Hilal Omdurman

Diouf (22'), Keita (29'), Ngimbi (58'), Shaibu (89' pen.)
Ngimbi (42'), Faveurdi Beenga (45+3'), Ndongala (73'), Fabrice Radjabu (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the CAF Champions League Group Stage clash between TP Mazembe and Al Hilal Omdurman.

Form, Standings, Stats

TP Mazembe

Last Game: MC Alger 1-0 TP Mazembe
Friday, January 10 at 7pm in CAF Champions League

Al Hilal Omdurman

Last Game: Al Hilal Omdurman 0-1 Young Africans
Sunday, January 12 at 7pm in CAF Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TP Mazembe win with a probability of 43.37%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Al Hilal Omdurman had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a TP Mazembe win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (7.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.68%), while for an Al Hilal Omdurman win it was 0-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TP Mazembe would win this match.

Result
TP Mazembe	Draw	Al Hilal Omdurman
43.37% ( -3.05)	31.63% ( 0.92)	25% ( 2.12)

Both teams to score 35.32% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.35% (

-1.28)

71.65% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.73% (

-0.8)

88.27% (

0.8)

TP Mazembe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

-2.41)

33.38% (

2.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30% (

-2.73)

70% (

2.73)

Al Hilal Omdurman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.01% (

1.32)

46.98% (

-1.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.52% (

0.98)

82.47% (

-0.98)

Score Analysis

TP Mazembe 43.36%

Al Hilal Omdurman 24.99%

Draw 31.62%

TP Mazembe	Draw	Al Hilal Omdurman
1-0 @ 17.2% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( -0.83) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.35) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.56) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.59% Total : 43.36%	0-0 @ 15.68% ( 0.73) 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 31.62%	0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.96) 1-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.51) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.17) Other @ 1.41% Total : 24.99%