Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a TP Mazembe win with a probability of 43.37%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Al Hilal Omdurman had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a TP Mazembe win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (7.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.68%), while for an Al Hilal Omdurman win it was 0-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that TP Mazembe would win this match.