Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 55.75%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.