Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT RheinEnergieStadion
  • Julian Chabot 12' yellowcard
  • Davie Selke 29' goal
  • Timo Hubers 41' yellowcard
  • Philipp Pentke 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marvin Pieringer 16'
  • goal Adrian Beck 55'

FC Koln vs Heidenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2023 5.30pm
Union Berlin 2 - 0 FC Koln
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Davie Selke

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Heidenheim 3 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Tim Kleindienst

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 55.75%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

FC Koln 55.75% (-0.27)
Draw 21.74% (+0.08)
Heidenheim 22.51% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.69% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.07% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 38.93% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 38.75% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 61.25% (+0.10)
Over 4.5 21.15% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 78.86% (+0.08)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5 86.1% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 13.9% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 58.67% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 41.33% (+0.23)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5 69.33% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 30.67% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 33.08% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 66.92% (-0.14)

Score analysis

FC Koln 55.75%
Draw 21.74%
Heidenheim 22.51%
FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.41% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 55.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.26% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.74%
Heidenheim
1-2 @ 5.88% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.04% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.98% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.32% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.28% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 22.51%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2019 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Voith-Arena (Heidenheim an der Brenz)
  • Robert Andrich 64' yellowcard
  • goal Dominick Drexler 10'
  • goal Jhon Cordoba 41'
  • yellowcard Anthony Modeste 44'
  • yellowcard Rafael Czichos 64'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2018 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT RheinEnergieStadion (Köln)
  • Marco Hoger 1' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hector 45' yellowcard
  • Sehrou Guirassy 58' goal
  • goal Timo Beermann 9'
  • yellowcard Niklas Dorsch 45'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Griesbeck 66'
  • yellowcard Timo Beermann 88'