Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Heidenheim in this match.