Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs | Finals | 2nd Leg
May 26, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
Heidenheim

Elversberg
1 - 2
Heidenheim

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs clash between Elversberg and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 2-2 Elversberg
Thursday, May 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-2 Elversberg
Thursday, May 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Heidenheim in this match.

Result
ElversbergDrawHeidenheim
47.55% (-0.319 -0.32)23.06% (0.185 0.19)29.38% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 62.03% (-0.581 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.07% (-0.807 -0.81)38.93% (0.805 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.75% (-0.854 -0.85)61.25% (0.851 0.85)
Elversberg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)16.69% (0.42 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.43% (-0.763 -0.76)46.56% (0.76 0.76)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (-0.32100000000001 -0.32)25.54% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (-0.436 -0.44)60.4% (0.433 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Elversberg 47.55%
    Heidenheim 29.38%
    Draw 23.06%
ElversbergDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.63% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.83% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 47.55%
1-1 @ 10.41% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.16 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 7.11% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.82% (0.166 0.17)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Elversberg vs Heidenheim

Elversberg
39.0%
Draw
13.6%
Heidenheim
47.5%
59
Head to Head
May 22, 2025 7.30pm
Finals 1st Leg
Heidenheim
2-2
Elversberg
Siersleben (61'), Honsak (64')
Beck (26')
Petkov (18'), Asllani (42')
rhs 2.0


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