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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 40.2% ( | 23.78% ( | 36.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.09% ( | 39.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.73% ( | 62.27% ( |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.87% ( | 20.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.61% ( | 52.39% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( | 22.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.43% ( | 55.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 2-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-1 @ 4.62% ( 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 4-1 @ 1.85% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 3.05% Total : 40.2% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0-0 @ 4.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 2-3 @ 3.27% ( 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.01% |