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Danish Superliga | Gameweek 25
Jun 2, 2020 at 6pm UK
Brøndby Stadium

Brondby
1 - 0
SonderjyskE

Lindstrom (61')
Lindstrom (56'), Tibbling (88'), Uhre (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Eskesen (39'), Absalonsen (44'), Ekani (70'), Jakobsen (71'), Marfelt (81')

Preview: Brondby vs. SonderjyskE - prediction, form guide, head-to-head

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Danish top-flight clash between Brondby and SonderjyskE, including predictions, form guide and head-to-head records.

Brondby return to Danish Superliga action on Tuesday night looking to boost their chances of ending the campaign in the top three of the standings.

Meanwhile, SonderjyskE have their sights on moving closer to mid-table after a three-match winless streak before football was suspended due to the coronavirus pandemic.


Match preview

While challenging for top spot is out of the equation, Brondby will now be focused on cementing their place in the Championship round at the end of the season.

Holding a four-point advantage over seventh-placed Randers, Niels Frederiksen will back his players to achieve their target over the final two games, despite the change of circumstances going forward.

Brondby went into the enforced break having recorded eight points from their five fixtures in 2020, a considerable improvement considering that they lost their final three games of the previous year.

However, Drengene fra Vestegnen would have been disappointed with their last performance, twice letting slip a lead at third-placed Nordsjaelland before eventually recording a 2-2 draw.

That proved to be the difference between Brondby heading into the break in fifth rather than third, and Frederiksen will be eager to bounce back from that frustrating result in what is, on paper, the perfect match after a prolonged break.

From SonderjyskE's perspective, they will feel that they can only benefit from a time of reflection after picking up just four points from five matches this year.

Their sole success came at home to Hobro, a team which has only registered two wins all season, and it leaves Glen Riddersholm with plenty of work ahead of him over the coming weeks.

Regardless of their form in the remaining fixtures, SonderjyskE will feature in the relegation round, but it is imperative that they finish as high in the standings as possible.

Realistically, eighth place can still be achieved with victories over Brondby and Silkeborg - results which may make all of the difference when it comes to survival in the top flight.

Brondby form: LDWLWD

SonderjyskE form: WLWLLD


Head To Head

Brondby have dominated this head-to-head, recording 21 wins and seven draws from the last 39 contests between the sides.

However, SonderjyskE have emerged victorious in three of the most recent four encounters, including in the last two fixtures to be played at the Brondby Stadium in all competitions.

They also got the better of Tuesday's hosts when the teams clashed at Sydbank Park in September.


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We say: Brondby 2-1 SonderjyskE

With three months having passed since their last fixtures, the form book goes out of the window. However, despite the lack of crowd, we have to back Brondby to prevail on familiar territory, perhaps by a closer scoreline than many would have anticipated before the suspension.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brondby win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for SonderjyskE had a probability of 17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brondby win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a SonderjyskE win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brondby would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1Brondby422051252655
2FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland411249301952
3Nordsjaelland440048262249
4Copenhagen411251292249
5AarhusAarhus40223233-138
6SilkeborgSilkeborg40223138-729
Relegation Round
1RandersRanders43103643-733
2Viborg FFViborg43103341-833
3OdenseOdense40222838-1026
4Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub40223148-1725
5Vejle41122331-823
6Hvidovre41122253-3115
 
Regular Season
1FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland22153443232048
2Brondby22145344202447
3Copenhagen22143545232245
4Nordsjaelland22107535211437
5AarhusAarhus229942621536
6SilkeborgSilkeborg2283112832-427
7OdenseOdense2266102532-724
8Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub2265112739-1223
9Viborg FFViborg2265112437-1323
10RandersRanders225892337-1423
11Vejle2247111926-719
12Hvidovre2225151745-2811


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