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Augsburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Sep 26, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Dortmund logo

Augsburg
2 - 0
Dortmund

Uduokhai (40'), Caligiuri (54')
Gregoritsch (29'), Khedira (30'), Gouweleeuw (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Braut Haaland (30'), Meunier (38'), Witsel (71'), Can (76')

Preview: Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including team news and predicted lineups.

Two sides that made winning starts to their Bundesliga campaigns meet at the WWK ARENA on Saturday as Borussia Dortmund travel to Augsburg.

Dortmund cruised to a 3-0 victory over Borussia Monchengladbach last weekend, while Augsburg were 3-1 winners over Union Berlin in their opener.


Match preview

Erling Braut Haaland celebrates scoring Borussia Dortmund's second goal against Borussia Monchengladbach on September 19, 2020© Reuters

Plenty of the talk surrounding Dortmund continues to centre around forward Jadon Sancho, who has been strongly linked with a move to Manchester United.

With less than two weeks of the transfer window to go, however, Sancho remains a Dortmund player and the club are adamant that will not change.

Keeping hold of Sancho, as well as adding Thomas Meunier, Jude Bellingham and Reinier Jesus to their squad, ensures that BVB should have enough in them to challenge for the title.

That certainly looks to be the case on the basis of their opening league game, with Erling Braut Haaland netting twice and Giovanni Reyna also on target in the win over Gladbach.

Dortmund have now won their last six opening-day fixtures and are looking to win their second match for the fourth time in six years.

Augsburg head coach Heiko Herrlich pictured on May 27, 2020© Reuters

Lucien Favre's men have momentum on their side, having also put five unanswered goals past Duisburg in round one of the DFB-Pokal, and will be out to keep that run going here.

Opponents Augsburg saw off Union Berlin in their curtain-raising fixture thanks to goals from Ruben Vargas, Michael Gregoritsch and Andre Hahn.

That was just the second time Augsburg have won on matchday one in the Bundesliga (also 2018-19), and they have never managed to win both of their opening fixtures.

If that is to change, they need to improve on a poor home return that has seen them go seven games without a victory on home soil in the league.

Dortmund, by comparison, won each of their last six Bundesliga away games in 2019-20. They last managed more consecutive wins on the road in 2010 (eight).

Augsburg Bundesliga form: W
Augsburg form (all competitions): WW

Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga form: W
Borussia Dortmund form (all competitions): WW


Team News

Borussia Dortmund's Giovanni Reyna in action with RB Leipzig's Kevin Kampl in the Bundesliga on June 20, 2020© Reuters

Reyna justified his selection ahead of a not-yet-fully-fit Marco Reus on the opening weekend and is expected to retain his place in the side here.

Thorgan Hazard limped off against Gladbach and is unlikely to play a part against Augsburg, so fit-again Raphael Guerreiro should get the nod in the wide position.

After his brace last weekend, Haaland now has 15 Bundesliga goals to his name in 2020 - only Bayern Munich star Robert Lewandowski, with 16, has more.

In terms of the home side, Alfred Finnbogason was brought on as a second-half substitute against Union and is expected to be among the subs again on Saturday.

Fellow attackers Noah Sarenren Bazee and Marco Richter are still nursing injuries for Augsburg, meanwhile, and will play no part against Dortmund.

Florian Niederlechner, who scored 13 top-flight goals last season, should get the nod through the middle in a 4-4-2 formation of sorts.

Augsburg possible starting lineup:
Gikiewicz; Framberger, Gouweleeuw, Uduokhai, Iago; Caligiuri, Khedira, Gruezo, Vargas; Gregoritsch, Niederlechner

Borussia Dortmund possible starting lineup:
Burki; Can, Hummels, Akanji; Meunier, Bellingham, Witsel, Guerreiro; Sancho, Reyna; Haaland


SM words green background

We say: Augsburg 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

Both sides have made a bright start to their 2020-21 campaigns by winning two games from two in all competitions, but something has to give in this contest.

Augsburg have won only one of their last 10 Bundesliga games against a Dortmund side boasting six away league wins on the spin, so we are backing the visitors to come out on top.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data


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Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 71.27%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 12.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-3 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Borussia Dortmund?

Augsburg
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Borussia Dortmund
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0
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Borussia Dortmund's Jadon Sancho celebrates scoring their third goal which is later disallowed on February 8, 2020
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9Borussia DortmundDortmund136342420421
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
11Stuttgart135532623320
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