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Boavista
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio do Bessa
Braga

Boavista
1 - 1
Braga

Njie (53')
Garcia (37'), Bracalli (45+1'), Porozo (57'), Petit (65'), Musa (73'), Makouta (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Horta (37' pen.)
Couto (71'), Oliveira (86'), Elmusrati (90+6')

Preview: Boavista vs. Braga - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Boavista and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh off the back of ending their nine-game winless run, Boavista play host to Braga at the Estadio do Bessa in round 25 of the Portuguese Primeira Liga on Saturday.

The visitors will be desperate to get one over Os Axadrezados after failing to win either of the previous two meetings between the sides this season, including a 5-1 defeat in the Taca da Liga back in December.


Match preview

Belenenses head coach Petit pictured in July 2020© Reuters

Boavista finally returned to winning ways in the Primeira Liga as they edged out a resilient Estoril Praia side 3-2 at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota last weekend.

After Petar Musa and Rodrigo Abascal netted to cancel out Bernardo Vital's opener and put Boavista ahead, Leonardo Ruiz restored parity from the spot in the 54th minute before Luis Santos grabbed the winner with five minutes left to play.

Prior to that, Os Axadrezados were on a run of nine consecutive games without a win, losing twice and settling for a share of the spoils on seven different occasions in that time.

Petit's side head into Saturday's game unbeaten in each of their last seven home games across all competitions, claiming five draws and two wins, including an emphatic 5-1 victory over Saturday's visitors when they squared off in Group C of the Taca da Liga.

With 25 points from 24 games, Boavista are currently 13th in the Primeira Liga standings, two points off Pacos de Ferreira in the top half of the table and five above 16th-placed Moreirense in the relegation playoff spot.

Braga's Ricardo Horta celebrates scoring their second goal on February 24, 2022© Reuters

Braga, on the other hand, were denied a third win on the spin last time out when they were held to an uneventful goalless draw by Santa Clara at the Estadio Braga Municipal.

Manager Carlos Carvalhal will feel disappointed not to have come away with maximum points as his side was guilty of a wasteful display in front of goal where they failed to convert any of their several clear-cut goalscoring opportunities.

Prior to that, Os Arcebispo claimed a 1-0 win at Tondela on February 20 courtesy of Ricardo Horta's solitary strike, before securing a 2-0 win over Sheriff Tiraspol in the Europa League four days later.

With 45 points from 24 games, Braga currently occupy fourth place in the league standings, nine points off third-placed Benfica and four above Gil Vicente in the final Conference League qualification spot.

Boavista Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W

Boavista form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W

Braga Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Braga form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D


Team News

Braga players celebrate after winning the penalty shoot-out on February 24, 2022© Reuters

With his strike against Estoril Praia last time out, Musa has now been involved in five goals in his last five games and the Croatian forward will certainly be one to keep an eye out for on Saturday.

On the injury front, Boavista will take to the pitch without the services of Miguel Reisinho, who continues his spell on the sidelines after sustaining a knee injury back in August.

Braga, on the other hand, will make do with the absence of 31-year-old defender Nuno Sequeira, who has been sidelined since last November through injury.

He is joined on the Os Arcebispo injury table by Lucas Mineiro after the Brazilian midfielder came off with a muscle problem in January's game versus Maritimo.

Portuguese youngster Roger Fernandes is also set to sit out his fourth consecutive game after the 16-year-old came off injured in the Europa League game against Sheriff Tiraspol.

Boavista possible starting lineup:
Bracali; Ferreira, Cannon, Porozo, Abascal, Santos; Makouta, Gorre, Sauer, Perez; Musa

Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Tormena, P Oliveira, Leite; Silva, Castro, Moura, Al Musrati; V Oliveira, R Horta, Ruiz


SM words green background

We say: Boavista 1-2 Braga

Despite failing to come away with all three points last time out, Braga head into Saturday's game as the more in-form side, claiming three wins and one draw from their last four games. While Boavista will be looking to build on their win over Estoril Praia, we see the visitors grinding out a narrow win in this one and strengthening their position in the upper echelons of the table.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 25.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Boavista vs Braga

Boavista
15.4%
Draw
15.4%
Braga
69.2%
13
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25212275255065
2Benfica26204260213964
3Porto26184450183258
4Braga26165555342153
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26155641271450
6MoreirenseMoreirense2612682827142
7AroucaArouca26104124337634
8FamalicaoFamalicao2561092430-628
9Gil Vicente2677123539-428
10BoavistaBoavista2677123351-1828
11Casa Pia2676132339-1627
12SC FarenseFarense2676133438-427
13Estrela Amadora2668122639-1326
14Estoril PraiaEstoril2674154249-725
15Rio AveRio Ave2641392635-925
16PortimonensePortimonense2665152453-2923
17Vizela2649132652-2621
18ChavesChaves2647152556-3119


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