Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 53.86%. A win for Keciorengucu had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Keciorengucu win was 1-2 (6.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.