Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kortrijk win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kortrijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.