Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 24
Feb 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadion am Kehrweg
KV Mechelen

Eupen
0 - 1
Mechelen


Filin (77'), Kohfeldt (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Foulon (64')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Eupen and Mechelen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eupen

All competitions
Last Game: Charleroi 1-0 Eupen
Wednesday, January 31 at 5.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Mechelen 2-2 Anderlecht
Thursday, February 1 at 7.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.

Result
EupenDrawMechelen
27.01% (-0.309 -0.31)23.97% (-0.134 -0.13)49.01% (0.438 0.44)
Both teams to score 56.98% (0.18 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.21% (0.356 0.36)44.78% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.85% (0.343 0.34)67.14% (-0.348 -0.35)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.8% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)30.19% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.65% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)66.35% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62% (0.307 0.31)18.37% (-0.313 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5% (0.523 0.52)49.5% (-0.53 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Eupen 27.01%
    Mechelen 49.01%
    Draw 23.97%
EupenDrawMechelen
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.64% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.59% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 27.01%
1-1 @ 11.25% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.39% (0.071 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.5% (0.065 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 49.01%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 6
Mechelen
1-0
Eupen
Lauberbach (81')

Boris (85')
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Eupen
2-1
Mechelen
N'dri (86'), Baiye (90+1')
Verstraete (10')
Oct 22, 2022 5.15pm
Gameweek 14
Mechelen
2-1
Eupen
Da Cruz (22'), Ngoy (76' pen.)
N'dri (16')
Mar 19, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 29
Eupen
1-1
Mechelen
Boris (8')
Amat (42'), Agbadou (76')
Amat (43')
Schoofs (21')
Aug 7, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Mechelen
1-3
Eupen
De Souza Costa (33')
Peeters (49'), Agbadou (85'), Embalo (90')
Prevljak (42'), Embalo (90+1')