Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Eupen win was 2-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.