Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a RWD Molenbeek win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.