Belgian Pro League Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 6.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
  • Patrick Pflucke 72' goal
  • Rob Schoofs 90'+6' goal
  • Patrick Pflucke 90'+8' goal
  • redcard Jeff Reine-Adelaide 4'
  • yellowcard Makhtar Gueye 36'
  • goal Pathe Mboup 86'
  • yellowcard Philipe Sampaio 90'+4'

Mechelen vs RWD Molenbeek - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mechelen

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Jan 19, 2024 7.45pm
Gent 1 - 2 Mechelen
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Kerim Mrabti

RWD Molenbeek

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last game
Jan 24, 2024 2.00pm
RWDM 0 - 1 Eupen
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Makhtar Gueye

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 51.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 24.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a RWD Molenbeek win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.

Result

Mechelen 51.7% (+0.10)
Draw 24.26% (+0.11)
RWD Molenbeek 24.03% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.12% (-0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.48% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 48.51% (+0.62)
Over 3.5 29.36% (-0.57)
Under 3.5 70.64% (+0.57)
Over 4.5 14.23% (-0.39)
Under 4.5 85.77% (+0.39)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5 81.25% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 18.75% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 49.86% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 50.13% (+0.33)

RWD Molenbeek Goals

Over 0.5 65.38% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 34.62% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 28.66% (-0.55)
Under 1.5 71.34% (+0.55)

Score analysis

Mechelen 51.7%
Draw 24.26%
RWD Molenbeek 24.03%
Mechelen
1-0 @ 10.86% (+0.20)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.1% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 5.08% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 51.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.49% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.26%
RWD Molenbeek
0-1 @ 6.89% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 24.03%

Head to Head

Belgian Pro League Gameweek 3
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Edmond Machtens-Stadion
  • Mickael Biron 74' goal
  • William Klaus 83' yellowcard
  • Theo Defourny 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Rikelmi Valentim dos Santos 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yonas Malede 90'+5'