Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 47.92%. A win for Dender had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-2 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.