Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 9, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Somerset Park
  • Ben Dempsey 63' yellowcard
  • Jay Henderson 64' yellowcard
  • goal Brian Graham 6'
  • goal Brian Graham 88'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 90'
  • yellowcard Brian Graham 90'

Ayr United vs Partick Thistle - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Last game
May 6, 2025 7.45pm
Partick 0 - 1 Ayr

Partick Thistle

All competitions
Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Last game
May 6, 2025 7.45pm
Partick 0 - 1 Ayr

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Partick Thistle win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result

Ayr United 51.73% (-0.14)
Draw 24.55% (+0.23)
Partick Thistle 23.71% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.87% (-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5 50% (-1.05)
Under 2.5 49.99% (+1.04)
Over 3.5 28.02% (-0.94)
Under 3.5 71.97% (+0.93)
Over 4.5 13.32% (-0.64)
Under 4.5 86.67% (+0.63)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5 80.68% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 19.31% (+0.46)
Over 1.5 48.93% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 51.06% (+0.75)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5 64.28% (-0.67)
Under 0.5 35.71% (+0.66)
Over 1.5 27.51% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 72.48% (+0.68)

Score analysis

Ayr United 51.73%
Draw 24.54%
Partick Thistle 23.71%
Ayr United
1-0 @ 11.34% (+0.33)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.33% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 5.11% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.71% (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.08)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.06)
Other @ 3%
Total : 51.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.67% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 6.9% (+0.29)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.12)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.54%
Partick Thistle
0-1 @ 7.1% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.66% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.71%

Head to Head

Scottish Premiership Playoffs
May 6, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • Aidan Fitzpatrick 7' yellowcard
  • Kyle Turner 24' yellowcard
  • Robbie Crawford 45' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Brian Graham 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Daniel O'Reilly 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Oakley 19'
  • goal Jamie Murphy 55'
  • yellowcard Lenny Agbaire 78'
  • yellowcard Jay Henderson 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Joshua Clarke 90'+3'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 29
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • Robbie Crawford 12' yellowcard
  • Logan Chalmers 19' goal
  • Luke McBeth 27' goal
  • Kyle Turner 36' yellowcard
  • Josh Reid 43' yellowcard
  • Stuart Bannigan 81' yellowcard
  • Luke McBeth 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cole McKinnon 51'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 22
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Somerset Park
  • George Oakley 3' yellowcard
  • George Oakley 19' goal
  • George Oakley 36' goal
  • Nick McAllister 76' redcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Crawford 7'
  • yellowcard Stuart Bannigan 72'
  • goal Harry Milne 87'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • Kyle Turner 82' goal
  • yellowcard Frankie Musonda 31'
  • yellowcard Michael Devlin 39'
  • yellowcard George Stanger 54'
  • yellowcard Marco Rus 71'
  • yellowcard George Oakley 88'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Somerset Park
  • Anton Dowds 25' goal
  • George Oakley 35' yellowcard
  • Ryan Howley 45'+1' yellowcard
  • George Stanger 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel O'Reilly 29'
  • yellowcard Robbie Crawford 41'
  • yellowcard Luke McBeth 44'
  • goal Harry Milne 74'
Scottish Championship Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Energy Check Stadium
  • yellowcard Kurt Willoughby 88'