Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsberger win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Hartberg had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsberger win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Hartberg win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.