Nations League Gameweek 2
Sep 27, 2026 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Ernst-Happel-Stadion
  • Kevin Danso 14' yellowcard
  • David Affengruber 23' goal
  • Junior Adamu 45'+2' goal
  • Carney Chukwuemeka 61' goal
  • David Affengruber 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ron Raci 22'
  • goal Edon Zhegrova 83'
  • yellowcard Valmir Matoshi 85'

Austria vs Kosovo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Austria 3 - 1 Israel

Kosovo

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 7.45pm
Kosovo 1 - 0 Rep. Ireland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.33% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 14.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%) , while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Austria 66.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 19.33% ▲ (+0.03)
Kosovo 14.34%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.17% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.77% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 21.23% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 56.07% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 2.5 43.93% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 3.5 33.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 66.09% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 22.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 77.71% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Austria 51.22% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 35.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Kosovo 13.1% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Austria 72.37% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Kosovo 22.22% ▲ (+0.10)

Corners

Over 8 45.25% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 8 11.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 8 43.4% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 34.74% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 9 10.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 54.75% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 25.75% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 10.5 74.25% ▲ (+0.13)

Austria Goals

Over 1.5 60.63% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 39.37% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 35.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 64.95% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 16.48% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 83.52% ▲ (+0.07)

Kosovo Goals

Over 0.5 47.4% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 52.6% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 17.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 82.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 4.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 95.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.1% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.9% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Austria 66.34%
Draw 19.34%
Kosovo 14.33%
Austria
1-0 @ 11.3% ▲ (+0.08)
2-0 @ 11.1%
2-1 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.33% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 16.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 66.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.34%
Kosovo
0-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.12%
1-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 14.33%