Conference League Gameweek 1
Oct 15, 2026 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Eljif Elmas 1' goal
  • Giacomo Raspadori 18' goal
  • Gianluca Scamacca 44' goal
  • yellowcard Ricardo Sá Pinto 50'
  • yellowcard R. Sa Pinto 50'
  • goal Biel 88'

Atalanta BC vs Pafos FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Pafos FC

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%) , while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Atalanta BC 55.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.7%
Pafos FC 21.25% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.72% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 27.69% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 47.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 52.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.16%
Under 3.5 73.84%
Over 4.5 15.54%
Under 4.5 84.46%

First Half Winner

Atalanta BC 39.46%
Draw 40.13%
Pafos FC 20.41%

Team To Score First

Atalanta BC 59.22% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 8.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Pafos FC 32.74%

Corners

Over 8 55.11%
Equal 8 12.19%
Under 8 32.69%
Over 9 42.96%
Equal 9 12.15%
Under 9 44.89%
Over 10.5 31.91%
Under 10.5 68.09%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 1.5 48.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 51.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 23.01%
Under 2.5 76.99%
Over 3.5 8.67%
Under 3.5 91.33%

Pafos FC Goals

Over 0.5 54.3% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 45.7% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 21.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 78.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 6.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.86%
Under 3.5 98.14%

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 55.05%
Draw 23.7%
Pafos FC 21.24%
Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 12.78% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 2.9%
Other @ 8.66%
Total : 55.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.04% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.7%
Pafos FC
0-1 @ 6.86%
1-2 @ 5.11% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3.2% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.24%