Club Friendlies 3
Aug 14, 2026 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Nicola Zalewski 46' goal

Atalanta BC vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 4.00pm
Schalke 0 - 3 Atalanta

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 4.30pm
Marseille 3 - 1 Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (7.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Atalanta BC 43.62% (-0.02)
Draw 25.05% (+0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 31.33% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.14%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.88% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 21.12% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 57.02% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 42.98% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 34.91%
Under 3.5 65.09%
Over 4.5 21.16%
Under 4.5 78.84%

First Half Winner

Atalanta BC 31.1% (+0.02)
Draw 42.62% (-0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 26.28% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Atalanta BC 46.78%
No Goal 6.28% (+0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 46.94% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.33% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 34.21% (-0.15)
Over 9 42.97% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.36% (+0.02)
Under 9 45.67% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 32.59% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 67.41% (-0.11)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 1.5 45.64%
Under 1.5 54.36%
Over 2.5 22.11%
Under 2.5 77.89%
Over 3.5 8.19% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.81% (-0.01)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 67.66% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.34% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 36.02% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.98% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14.71%
Under 2.5 85.29%
Over 3.5 5.43% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.57% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 43.62%
Draw 25.04%
Athletic Bilbao 31.33%
Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 8.91%
1-0 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67%
Other @ 7.94%
Total : 43.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.28% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25% (+0.02)
Total : 25.04%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.69% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
Other @ 5.18%
Total : 31.33%

Head to Head

Champions League Gameweek 7
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Gewiss Stadium
  • Gianluca Scamacca 16' goal
  • Nikola Krstovic 65' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstović 65' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstovic 66' yellowcard
  • Ademola Lookman 66' yellowcard
  • Honest Ahanor 76' yellowcard
  • Lazar Samardzic 76' yellowcard
  • Lazar Samardžić 76' yellowcard
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 82' yellowcard
  • Kamaldeen Sulemana 82' yellowcard
  • Nikola Krstovic 88' goal
  • Nikola Krstović 88' goal
  • yellowcard Oihan Sancet 46'
  • goal Gorka Guruzeta 58'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 59'
  • yellowcard Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta 59'
  • yellowcard Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta 59'
  • yellowcard Mikel Vesga 60'
  • yellowcard Nico Serrano 68'
  • goal Nico Serrano 70'
  • goal Robert Navarro 74'
  • yellowcard Jesus Areso 81'
  • yellowcard Jesús Areso 81'