Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 77.39%. A draw had a probability of 16.49% and a win for Kairat had a probability of 6.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.38%) and 3-0 (11.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.76%) , while for a Kairat win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.