Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Oct 18, 2026 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Simón Escobar 32' yellowcard
  • Manuel Lanzini 60' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silvero 85' goal
  • Thiago Aguirre 90' yellowcard
  • Joaquín García 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fermín Antonini 58'
  • yellowcard Luciano Paredes 82'

Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia Mendoza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 8.00pm
Lanus 2 - 0 Velez Sarsfield
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Manuel Lanzini

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 12, 2026 10.30pm
Gimnasia Mendoza 1 - 0 Newell's OB
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.56% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza had a probability of 21.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result

Velez Sarsfield 52.69% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 25.56% ▲ (+0.36)
Gimnasia Mendoza 21.75% ▼ (-0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.07% ▲ (+0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.27% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 29.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 45.11% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 2.5 54.89% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 3.5 24.01% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 75.99% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 4.5 13.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.69% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Velez Sarsfield 33.27% ▼ (-1.61)
Draw 47.69% ▲ (+0.61)
Gimnasia Mendoza 19.04% ▲ (+0.99)

Team To Score First

Velez Sarsfield 56.44% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 8.72% ▲ (+0.15)
Gimnasia Mendoza 34.84% ▼ (-0.22)

Corners

Over 8 54.02% ▼ (-5.44)
Equal 8 11.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 34.12% ▲ (+5.40)
Over 9 42.29% ▼ (-4.94)
Equal 9 11.72% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 9 45.98% ▲ (+5.44)
Over 10.5 31.65% ▼ (-4.04)
Under 10.5 68.35% ▲ (+4.04)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 1.5 45.65% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 1.5 54.35% ▼ (-0.20)
Over 2.5 20.18% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 79.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 7.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 92.39% ▲ (+0.08)

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 0.5 55.17% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 44.83% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 21.47% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 78.53% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 6.18% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 2.5 93.82% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 3.5 1.4%
Under 3.5 98.6%

Score analysis

Velez Sarsfield 52.68%
Draw 25.55%
Gimnasia Mendoza 21.76%
Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 13.46% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 10.01% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 52.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.22)
Other @ 0.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.55%
Gimnasia Mendoza
0-1 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.16)
1-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.29% ▼ (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.72%
2-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.76%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 13
Apr 3, 2026 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
  • Ezequiel Muñoz 45'+1' goal
  • Julián Ceballos 55' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Sabatini 55' yellowcard
  • Valentino Simoni 67' yellowcard
  • Agustín Módica 81' goal
  • Santiago Rodríguez 84' yellowcard
  • Ismael Cortez 84' yellowcard
  • Emanuel Mammana 90'+1' goal
  • goal Florián Monzón 3'
  • goal Manuel Lanzini 11'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 51'
  • yellowcard Matías Arias 61'
  • yellowcard Braian Romero 89'
  • yellowcard Dilan Godoy 90'