Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Lanus
Oct 12, 2026 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Velez Sarsfield
  • Sasha Marcich 59' goal
  • Carlos Izquierdoz 73' yellowcard
  • Ramiro Carrera 88' yellowcard
  • Tomás Marchiori 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Robertone 11'
  • yellowcard Thiago Aguirre 19'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Aliendro 34'

Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 9.00pm
Newell's OB 0 - 0 Lanus
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Dylan Aquino

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Oct 5, 2026 11.00pm
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 2 Platense
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Manuel Lanzini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 43.35%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.82%) , while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Lanus 43.35% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 31.2%
Velez Sarsfield 25.45% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

41% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 59.53% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 40.47% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 32.67% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 67.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 13.98% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 86% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 6.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 93.57% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Lanus 31.44% ▼ (-0.24)
Draw 50.04% ▲ (+0.16)
Velez Sarsfield 18.52% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Lanus 53.86% ▼ (-0.33)
No Goal 13.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Velez Sarsfield 32.32% ▲ (+0.40)

Corners

Over 8 57.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 30.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 44.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Equal 9 12.71% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 9 42.85% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 32.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.29% ▼ (-0.01)

Lanus Goals

Over 1.5 32.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 67.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 10.84% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 89.16% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.09% ▲ (+0.02)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 55.36% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 0.5 44.64% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 19.68% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 80.32% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 2.5 4.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 95.25% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 0.89% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.11% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lanus 43.34%
Draw 31.2%
Velez Sarsfield 25.45%
Lanus
1-0 @ 15.76% ▼ (-0.08)
2-0 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 8.34%
3-0 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 43.34%
Draw
0-0 @ 13.82% ▼ (-0.07)
1-1 @ 13.67% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 31.2%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 10.88% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.44% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.88% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 25.45%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 12
Velez Sarsfield
Mar 21, 2026 6.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
Lanus
  • Diego Valdés 67' yellowcard
  • 67' yellowcard
  • Á. Verón 78' yellowcard
  • Braian Romero 78' yellowcard
  • Matías Pellegrini 78' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silvero 86' yellowcard
  • Á. Verón 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Cabrera 30'
  • yellowcard Lucas Besozzi 67'
  • goal Carlos Izquierdoz  71'
  • yellowcard Yoshan Valois 83'
  • yellowcard Franco Watson 83'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Pérez 83'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Velez Sarsfield
Aug 31, 2025 1.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Lanus
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 7
Lanus
Feb 22, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Velez Sarsfield
  • Agustin Cardozo 15' yellowcard
  • Agustin Cardozo 15' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Perez 56' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Perez 56' yellowcard
  • Agustin Cardozo 80' redcard
  • Agustin Cardozo 80' redcard
  • yellowcard Christian Ordonez 1'
  • yellowcard Christian Ordonez 1'
  • yellowcard Jano Gordon 12'
  • yellowcard Jano Gordon 12'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 30'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 30'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Mammana 47'
  • yellowcard Emanuel Mammana 47'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Montoro 83'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Montoro 83'
  • yellowcard Leonel David Roldan 88'
  • yellowcard Leonel David Roldan 88'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Velez Sarsfield
Nov 20, 2024 10.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Lanus
  • Damian Fernandez 45'+4' redcard
  • Christian Ordonez 53' yellowcard
  • Patricio Ezequiel Pernicone 59' yellowcard
  • Claudio Aquino 82' yellowcard
  • Agustin Bouzat 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Perez 34'
  • yellowcard Felipe Pena Biafore 35'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 23
Lanus
Jul 5, 2023 12.00am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez
Velez Sarsfield
  • goal Walter Bou 42'
  • goal Walter Bou 42'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 9
Lanus
Jul 21, 2022 1.30am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Velez Sarsfield
  • Raul Loaiza 36' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Acosta 54' goal
  • Mateo Sanabria 63' redcard
  • Lautaro Acosta 64' yellowcard
  • David Gonzalez 68' yellowcard
  • Franco Tomas Ortellado 74' goal
  • yellowcard Maximo Perrone 21'
  • goal Maximo Perrone 39'
  • yellowcard Francisco Ortega 59'
  • goal Leonardo Jara 70'
  • yellowcard Abiel Osorio 73'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 90'+1'

Form Data

Newell's OB 0 - 0 Lanus
Lanus 2 - 1 Estudiantes
Deportivo Riestra 0 - 3 Lanus
Lanus 1 - 0 Defensa
Boca Juniors 1 - 0 Lanus
Lanus 1 - 1 Argentinos Jrs
Velez Sarsfield 2 - 2 Platense
Velez Sarsfield 3 - 2 Tigre
Newell's OB 1 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 0 Estudiantes
Deportivo Riestra 1 - 1 Velez Sarsfield
River Plate 2 - 2 Velez Sarsfield