Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Estudiantes vs Gimnasia Mendoza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Sep 22, 2026 1.15am
Lanus 2 - 1 Estudiantes
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Alexis Castro

Gimnasia Mendoza

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 6.30pm
Gimnasia Mendoza 0 - 0 Deportivo Riestra
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Agustin Modica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estudiantes win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw has a probability of 24.99% and a win for Gimnasia Mendoza has a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.78%) , while for a Gimnasia Mendoza win it is 0-1 (6.92%).

Result

Estudiantes 56.41% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 24.99%
Gimnasia Mendoza 18.63% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.88% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 30.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 43.63% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 56.37% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 21.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 78.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 12.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 87.97% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Estudiantes 36.92%
Draw 46.89%
Gimnasia Mendoza 16.19%

Team To Score First

Estudiantes 59.41% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 8.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Gimnasia Mendoza 31.6% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 53.51%
Equal 8 11.88%
Under 8 34.61%
Over 9 41.8%
Equal 9 11.71%
Under 9 46.49%
Over 10.5 31.21%
Under 10.5 68.79%

Estudiantes Goals

Over 1.5 46.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 53.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 20.79%
Under 2.5 79.21%
Over 3.5 7.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 92.45% ▲ (+0.02)

Gimnasia Mendoza Goals

Over 0.5 51.64% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 48.36% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 18.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 81.9% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 4.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 95.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 0.84%
Under 3.5 99.16%

Score analysis

Estudiantes 56.42%
Draw 25%
Gimnasia Mendoza 18.63%
Estudiantes
1-0 @ 14.87% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 11.18% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 10.04%
3-0 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 56.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 8.99% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25%
Gimnasia Mendoza
0-1 @ 6.92%
1-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 2.67% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 18.63%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 11
Mar 18, 2026 12.15am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
  • Agustín Módica 45'+2' goal
  • Blas Armoa 59' yellowcard
  • Ismael Cortez 59' yellowcard
  • Brian Nicolás Ferreyra 64' yellowcard
  • Lautaro Carrera 80' yellowcard
  • Valentino Simoni 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edwuin Cetré 46'
  • goal Tiago Palacios 60'
  • goal Tiago Palacios 66'
  • yellowcard Eros Mancuso 74'
  • yellowcard Adolfo Gaich 84'
  • yellowcard Santiago Núñez 84'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Neves 89'